1-866-646-8465
CHARTS
0

Your Cart:

Subtotal: $0.00

Greece ‘48 Hours Away From Unrest’

Greek flag juxtaposed over European Union flag with white retro clock sitting in front, moments away from unrest

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras probably has 48 hours to resolve a standoff with creditors before civil unrest breaks out and ATMs run out of cash, hedge fund Balyasny Asset Management said.

Fund managers are questioning how the International Monetary Fund and Europe’s leaders can seal a deal with Athens following the “no” vote in a Greek referendum on Sunday. Sixty-one percent of voters rejected austerity, increasing the likelihood of an exit from the euro area.

“I don’t see a good resolution any time soon,” Colin Lancaster, senior managing director with Balyasny, a $9 billion fund based in Chicago, said in an e-mailed response to questions. “The big question is whether the EU adopts a strategy of waiting them out. The hope would be that the unrest leads to a unity government or change in government.”

Balyasny ended its direct exposure to Greece three weeks ago, Lancaster said.

Hedge fund managers turned cautious on global equities in the run-up to Sunday’s vote, with sales of stocks sending a gauge of manager bullishness sliding. The Evercore ISI index of hedge fund long versus short bets was at 50.5 in the week ending July 1, down from 51.8 at the start of June, data from the New York-based research firm show.

The survey, based on 31 hedge funds with about $86 billion under management, tracks investments on a zero through 100 scale. Readings of zero show “maximum” short selling, or the sale of borrowed equities with the hope of profiting by buying them at lower prices later; 100 means “maximum” bullish bets. The index has dipped below 50 only twice in the past year.

Plan B

There’s little chance of Greece accepting a deal unless the country’s debt is restructured, Philippe Ferreira, global strategist at Lyxor Asset Management, a Paris-based unit of Societe Generale SA with investments in about 100 hedge funds, said in an e-mail. Investors should be cautious as European Union leaders may not have an adequate plan B if negotiations fail, he said.

Greece has been targeted by some hedge funds seeking returns in a market viewed as too risky for many traditional investors. John Paulson of Paulson & Co. bought bank stocks, while Perry Capital, Knighthead Capital Management and Monarch Alternative Capital purchased Greek debt. Randy Smith, who runs Alden Global Capital, started a Greek-focused fund in December.

Bruce Richards, co-founder of U.S. hedge fund Marathon Asset Management, said last week Tsipras will be gone within 30 days regardless of the outcome of the nation’s referendum.

A “no” vote would cause “rioting in the streets come weeks from now when the banks are closing and you have drachma,” he said in an interview on the television program “Wall Street Week.”

Europe’s leaders run the danger of setting a precedent for other governments if they agree to a writedown for Greece, said Savvas Savouri, chief economist at Toscafund Asset Management, a $3 billion London-based hedge fund.

“Other debt-burdened countries will campaign for the same treatment,” he said. “That is especially relevant with a Spanish election in December.”

This story originally appeared in Bloomberg Business by Will Wainewright. View article here.

Recent Articles

What Is Silver Used for? 10 Fascinating Uses for Silver

What Is Silver Used for? 10 Fascinating Uses for Silver

Silver might not always get the glory and attention that gold does, but it remains one of the most useful precious metals in the world. Solar technology, electronics, soldering and brazing, engine bearings, medicine, cars, water purification, jewelry, tableware, and...

Can an IRA Account Be Gifted?

Can an IRA Account Be Gifted?

One of the most important reasons we work to grow our wealth is to leave something behind for our loved ones. For my parents, this was not an option. They were entrepreneurs and immigrants who were not aware of all their savings and retirement options. Thankfully, I...

Gold Stocks vs. Physical Gold — What Is the Difference?

Gold Stocks vs. Physical Gold — What Is the Difference?

You want to buy gold to help diversify your portfolio, but you’re not sure whether you should buy physical gold vs gold stocks. You may be asking yourself: Are they essentially the same thing? Does your portfolio experience the same benefits if you buy physical gold...

Can You Buy Gold and Silver From a Bank?

Can You Buy Gold and Silver From a Bank?

Central banks are among the largest buyers of gold and have some of the largest gold holdings, yet it’s very rare for customers to be able to buy gold at banks. In fact, it’s unusual for typical banks to sell any precious metals. And even when they do, their selection...

Flying with Gold Coins? What You Need to Know About TSA Guidelines

Flying with Gold Coins? What You Need to Know About TSA Guidelines

You’ve decided to buy gold coins for your four kids as holiday gifts, and you’ll be flying from Albuquerque to Atlanta with these prized presents. First off, you’re a great gift giver! Gold coin gifts are Santa-approved. Second, and more importantly, you need to know...

How to Find a Lost IRA and What to Do With It

How to Find a Lost IRA and What to Do With It

Retirement accounts are often “lost” when people switch jobs, go through a major life change like a divorce, or transition among financial institutions. “There are more than 24 million ‘forgotten’ 401(k) accounts containing some $1.35 trillion in assets,” according to...

Start diversifying today

   1-866-646-8465

As one of the largest distributors of precious metals in the nation, U.S. Money Reserve gives you access to our highly-trained team.

U.S. Money Reserve Gold Kit and Global Gold Forecast Special Report Thumbnail
The Ultimate Guide

Free Gold Information Kit

Sign up now to receive the ultimate guide to gold ownership, unlock special offers, and more.