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Gold’s Path to $4,000/oz. Looks Clear

Gold shattered another record last weekend, climbing past $3,100/oz. for the first time in history. This milestone comes just weeks after gold broke through $3,000/oz., highlighting the growing momentum behind this historic rally.

I’m not surprised. The forces driving this surge suggest it still has much further to go.

Economic uncertainty continues to fuel gold’s rise.

In recent weeks, market response can be easily summed up as follows: Rising trade tensions have fueled fears of economic turbulence, and global markets have reacted to those fears. Stocks have fallen, consumer and business sentiment has tumbled, and analysts cut their forecasts for the S&P 500.

In this environment, gold’s rise is to be expected. Recession fears and other anxieties have driven many into safe-haven assets this year. Underscoring this flight to safety, gold prices have risen over 18% this year so far. To many, the rally has far to go.

Experts see gold climbing much higher—and soon.

As gold prices surge, expectations for where gold is heading have also risen. A couple of major financial institutions—Goldman Sachs and Bank of America—have modestly raised their near-term expectations to $3,300/oz. and $3,500/oz, respectively.

But as gold prices continue their rapid ascent, price predictions are becoming increasingly bolder. In February, Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, projected that gold would reach $4,000/oz. in 2026.  Earlier in March, Jeffrey Gundlach, the CEO of DoubleLine, also predicted that gold would top $4,000/oz., as did Mike McGlone, a strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence. Analysts from J.P. Morgan perhaps best illustrated this trend in a note to clients on March 26, asking, “With each $1,000 phase taking about two-thirds less time than the previous one…could the $4,000 mark be just around the corner?”

A rising trend with no clear ceiling.

Gold’s ability to appreciate during both economic turmoil and policy shifts has been well established over the years. Now, as global uncertainty continues, gold’s role as both a hedge and a source of growth opportunity has become increasingly critical. For those who already hold gold, gold’s continued rise reaffirms its strength and stability. For those still waiting on the sidelines, history suggests this rally may be far from over. Opportunity is knocking. And I am not hesitating to answer.

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