Diversification Brings Peace of Mind in Tumultuous Times

It’s the simple things that we all have in common. Sometimes, all anyone wants at the end of the day is a sense of inner peace. Peace of mind, however, can be a scarce commodity.   Nearly 40 percent of Americans have reported that politics have stressed them out.  If you are stressed out about political turmoil, you are not alone. A recent study published in the Public Library of…

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Consumer Sentiment: A Wall Street “Sell” Signal?

For the past year, we’ve heard various predictions and prognostications from economic experts about an impending recession. Some have called for a downturn by the end of this year. Others maintain that there could be a recession—along with a contentious election—next year. And yet another group of analysts are calling for the longest uninterrupted economic…

Consumer Sentiment: A Wall Street “Sell” Signal?Details

Paper Wealth, Paper Millionaires, and the Paper Rich

We all know that the financial markets cannot continue to climb indefinitely. Stocks have routinely collapsed throughout history, and bad things have been set in motion by a variety of factors, like speculation, inflation, asset bubbles, bank failures, mass unemployment, and geopolitics.   Market crashes wipe out what’s called “paper wealth,” leaving a wake of decimated “paper millionaires” who, according to Investopedia, are individuals with “a high net worth as a result of the large total market value of the assets he or she owns.”  Many of us with robust pensions or 401(k)s may…

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The Mighty German Engine Is Sputtering—so Goes the Eurozone?

Europe has just posted downright dismal PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) numbers. The Purchasing Managers’ Index is a leading indicator of manufacturing activity and a carefully watched barometer of economic health. The latest PMI flash data that covers 19 countries in the European Union suggests that the eurozone could be moving closer to recession.  A PMI reading above 50 generally suggests an economic expansion, while anything below 50 indicates a contraction. The monthly flash report for September (an advanced indicator) fell from…

The Mighty German Engine Is Sputtering—so Goes the Eurozone?Details

Has U.S. Manufacturing Fired a Warning Shot?

In a year of dramatic stock volatility, trade struggles, profit worries, bond mayhem, and endless recession timelines, it’s easy to become immune to the various “dire” economic warnings that arise each week. But sometimes one indicator takes you by surprise. The Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Index fell to 49.1 in August, the lowest level…

Has U.S. Manufacturing Fired a Warning Shot?Details

If China Stumbles, Will the Global Economy Fall Down?

In October, the People’s Republic of China will turn 70 years old. It was established when the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) defeated the Nationalist Party during the Chinese Civil War (1945–1949). Mao Zedong, the leader of the PLA, formally declared the creation of a “democratic dictatorship” on October 1, 1949, and went on

If China Stumbles, Will the Global Economy Fall Down?Details

Could the Next Presidential Election Tip the Economic Scale?

If you follow the news at all—and we’re sure you do—you’ve heard about an election coming up in 2020. You’ve also heard about rising fears of a recession. The already contentious presidential election and the increasingly worrisome economy appear to be on a collision course. Unfortunately, no one has a crystal ball that can precisely…

Could the Next Presidential Election Tip the Economic Scale?Details

Spiking the Punch Bowl: The Economic Hangover Theory

Overinvestment, overindulgence, and fiscal binging—call it what you will, but it always seems to lead to a head-pounding day of reckoning. The “hangover theory” is a business-cycle philosophy that famed economist Paul Krugman summarized back in 1998: “In the beginning, an investment boom gets out of hand. Maybe excessive money creation or reckless bank lending…

Spiking the Punch Bowl: The Economic Hangover TheoryDetails