Has the Fed Lost Its Mojo?

For over a year, the U.S.-China trade war has been daily water cooler talk at every big bank and investment firm from Wall Street to Main Street. And with good reason. It has created uncertainty and volatility—and by many accounts, it has reduced global growth to a crawl. Each new round of tariffs unnerves the…

Has the Fed Lost Its Mojo?Details

Spiking the Punch Bowl: The Economic Hangover Theory

Overinvestment, overindulgence, and fiscal binging—call it what you will, but it always seems to lead to a head-pounding day of reckoning. The “hangover theory” is a business-cycle philosophy that famed economist Paul Krugman summarized back in 1998: “In the beginning, an investment boom gets out of hand. Maybe excessive money creation or reckless bank lending…

Spiking the Punch Bowl: The Economic Hangover TheoryDetails