Has U.S. Manufacturing Fired a Warning Shot?

In a year of dramatic stock volatility, trade struggles, profit worries, bond mayhem, and endless recession timelines, it’s easy to become immune to the various “dire” economic warnings that arise each week. But sometimes one indicator takes you by surprise. The Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Index fell to 49.1 in August, the lowest level…

Has U.S. Manufacturing Fired a Warning Shot?Details

If China Stumbles, Will the Global Economy Fall Down?

In October, the People’s Republic of China will turn 70 years old. It was established when the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) defeated the Nationalist Party during the Chinese Civil War (1945–1949). Mao Zedong, the leader of the PLA, formally declared the creation of a “democratic dictatorship” on October 1, 1949, and went on

If China Stumbles, Will the Global Economy Fall Down?Details

Could the Next Presidential Election Tip the Economic Scale?

If you follow the news at all—and we’re sure you do—you’ve heard about an election coming up in 2020. You’ve also heard about rising fears of a recession. The already contentious presidential election and the increasingly worrisome economy appear to be on a collision course. Unfortunately, no one has a crystal ball that can precisely…

Could the Next Presidential Election Tip the Economic Scale?Details

Spiking the Punch Bowl: The Economic Hangover Theory

Overinvestment, overindulgence, and fiscal binging—call it what you will, but it always seems to lead to a head-pounding day of reckoning. The “hangover theory” is a business-cycle philosophy that famed economist Paul Krugman summarized back in 1998: “In the beginning, an investment boom gets out of hand. Maybe excessive money creation or reckless bank lending…

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An Economic Crossroad: Where Exuberance Meets Recklessness

Upbeat earnings, rosy job reports, rate-cut chatter, a red-hot labor market, and robust consumer spending—it certainly has been high times on Wall Street. One is reminded of the days of excess, the “greed is good,” white-collar culture of billion-dollar deals, spending benders, and banks behaving badly. The current appetite in stocks is nothing short of…

An Economic Crossroad: Where Exuberance Meets RecklessnessDetails

The Gold Recommendations Just Keep Coming

Gold has been making some big headlines lately, and while experts can’t quite figure out if it’s a rally or a realignment—they like what they see.   The yellow metal is up more than 11% in the last 6 months and more than 16% in the last year. But that’s nothing extraordinary for the precious metal. A glance back at the end of the 20th century—which…

The Gold Recommendations Just Keep ComingDetails

If Everything Is so Great then Why Is Everyone so Worried?

We’re all familiar with the saying “If anything can go wrong, it will.” Known as Murphy’s Law, the dictum was born at Edwards Air Force Base in the late 1940s during crash testing to determine human tolerance for high-speed rocket deceleration. Capt. Edward A. Murphy, an engineer, made the comment when faulty wiring was discovered…

If Everything Is so Great then Why Is Everyone so Worried?Details